Time to look back at last year’s tech predictions. I did this at the half-way point, so let’s see what has changed since then.
- AIX is still kickin’
- HPUX hasn’t died yet 🙁
- Solaris is still being clung-to by Oracle
- HP split in half – count this a win
- IBM has dropped from 162 to 138 per share – count this a win
- IBM still doesn’t realize POWER is having death-throes, but it’s also not dead yet … so this was wrong
- Z/OS has continued, though not growing as much as I hoped
- cloud is less of a “thing” and more of a “thing” at the same time … this is a wash
- cloud hosting providers are competing more on price .. but not as much as I’d expected
- more “new” (ie less than 15 years old) tech and tools are making their ways into stodgy businesses and government agencies, but it’s painfully slow to watch
- everyone is trying to be buzzword-compliant – this is a definite win
- “real” 3D hasn’t arrived on cell phones (though the extra touch sensitivity of the new iPhone 6S and 6S Plus is cool
- still counting the iPad Pro as a correct on my “MacBook Flex” prediction
- no fat binary option with the latest OS X to support iOS and x86 hardware
- no non-x86 Macs .. but the iPad Pro is close
- Apple may or may not be working on developing a car … this is not true yet, but I think it will be “soon”
- Tesla has added models, but nothing in the “everyday” category yet
- SpaceX hasn’t sent anything to Venus or Mars, but they’ve done a bunch of other cool stuff
- Square doesn’t have a bank option
- no local competition against Uber and Lyft .. but they’re growing like crazy
- more cities and regions are fast moving towards being “gigacities” .. not as many as I’d hoped, but it’s happening
In a week or two I’ll put out my predictions for 2016. But first, what are yours?